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Look! How can a "world exhibition hall" handle the economic situation

On July 18, Chint's first think tank salon was held in the "Chint world" exhibition hall. Dr. Ha Jiming, vice chairman and chief investment strategist of Goldman Sachs investment management department in China, was invited to give a keynote speech and discussed with Nan Cunhui, member of the Standing Committee of the CPPCC National Committee, chairman of the Zhejiang Federation of industry and Commerce and chairman of Chint Group; LAN Jianping, President of Zhejiang Institute of industry and information technology; Liu Zhiyi, director of the Research Office of Zhejiang Federation of industry and commerce; and Dr. Huang Wenli, the representative of new generation entrepreneurs The current domestic and international economic situation, explore the future investment development opportunities.

 In his speech, Nan Cunhui said that the theme of this issue of think tank salon is "China's economy and market outlook". However, many people feel confused and confused about the current complicated economic situation. Brexit has exacerbated the uncertainty of the global economy. From the domestic point of view, China's economy is in the key stage of structural adjustment, transformation and upgrading, and the "pain" of adjustment is still continuing. However, although the domestic and foreign economic situation is under great pressure, there is still a lot of room and hope for China's economic development. The huge consumption market of more than one billion people, urban infrastructure investment and rural development all contain huge development space. Nan Cunhui believes that through Dr. Ha Jiming's wonderful speech and the opinions of the guests, we can surely bring a feast of ideas to the employees of Chint.

After that, Dr. Ha Jiming delivered a speech from five dimensions: global economic and investment outlook, China's economic growth rate and its impact on other economies, China's rebalancing, reform plan, structural faults, China's recent economic situation, China's outlook and investment impact. According to Dr. Ha Jiming, at present, China's economy is facing great challenges. On the one hand, it is necessary to realize economic rebalancing, on the other hand, it is necessary to avoid disorderly and destructive adjustment. But he is still full of confidence in the future development trend of China's economy. At the same time, Dr. Ha Jiming believes that the transformation from "made in China" to "made for China" will provide huge development potential for health and education, elderly health care, financial management, tourism, Internet, entertainment and sports.

"Under the new economic wave, Chint should strive to be a" Pathfinder "and form its own ideas and action paths."

——Nan Cunhui, member of the Standing Committee of the CPPCC National Committee, chairman of Zhejiang Federation of industry and commerce, and chairman of Zhengtai Group

Nan Cunhui believes that in order to have full confidence in China's economy, there are many crises and challenges in some fields in China, but the crisis is organic. There must be opportunities for investment, matching, restructuring, innovation and development in each crisis. In particular, it will bring new technologies and new industries to drive development, thus promoting social economy.

Now the Internet era has come, the first thing enterprises should do is to innovate, not to be conventional. For Chint, the continuous innovation and development of new electric energy is something that Chint has been trying to do these years. If Chint has been focusing on the old products, old technologies, old methods and old markets, and does not keep up with the pace of the country and the world's development trend, we will not be able to develop its assets to more than 40 billion yuan without constantly exploring and innovating in the new industries related to the main business. Nan Cunhui also further mentioned the residential rental roof distributed photovoltaic power station being built by Chint. This kind of investment mode with stable income has been more and more popular with ordinary residents. Second, we should make full efforts in energy efficiency management, adhere to the green development of enterprises, and extend them to smart cities, intelligent transportation and smart finance when cross-border enterprises are needed in the future. New industries should be cultivated, and the pace should be stable, and there is no need to panic.

In the new economic wave, for private enterprises in Zhejiang, Nan Cunhui thinks that Zhengtai should strive to be a "pioneer" and form its own ideas and action path in the process of exploration.

"Goldman Sachs has always been full of confidence in China's economy!"

——Dr. Ha Jiming, vice chairman and chief investment strategist of Goldman Sachs investment management in China

Today's input, tomorrow's output, today's investment structure is tomorrow's industrial structure. Mr. ha said Goldman has always been confident in China's economy. A long time ago, when China's economic bad debts were very high, they still chose to invest heavily, which proved that this decision was very correct. In the financial field, Goldman Sachs took the lead in obtaining China's financial service license among foreign-funded enterprises, set up service points in Shanghai, Beijing and Shenzhen, and fully opened its headquarters in Hong Kong and New York, realizing the global integration of operation. According to Ha Jiming, compared with the 1990s, China's economy is no longer in an order of magnitude. Nowadays, both the financial industry, manufacturing industry and other industries have been greatly upgraded. Therefore, the cooperative development mode of Goldman Sachs in China should be said to be permanent and keep pace with the times.

"In the future, China's nine major industrial sectors will show a vigorous development trend."

——Liu Zhiyi, director of Research Office of Zhejiang Federation of industry and Commerce

Liu Zhiyi said that in the future, there are nine industrial sectors in China's economic field that deserve attention. The first is the emerging economy. At present, Hangzhou's successful transformation is due to the fact that the emerging economy has accounted for more than 50% of its GDP. Therefore, despite the periodic decline in private investment, the profits of its industrial output value are increasing. The second is the new energy sector. At present, photovoltaic has become the leader of this industry, and there is a lot of room for development in the future. The third is the health sector. At present, the government's expenditure on this sector accounts for about 5% of GDP, which is far from the 13% to 15% of the developed countries. Therefore, there is a huge space of nearly 5 trillion to 6 trillion yuan. The fourth is the pension sector, which currently has a volume of about 4 trillion yuan. According to the national requirements, it will reach 13 trillion yuan by 2020, including nearly 9 trillion yuan of space. The fifth is the telecom mobile phone sector. At present, the volume of domestic smart phones is about 2.1 trillion, and will reach nearly 6.4 trillion by 2020. Therefore, there is a huge space for the development of smart phones. The sixth is the financial services sector, which will have 10-15 trillion development space by 2020. The seventh is tourism and leisure sector. According to the national plan, tourism will account for 5% of GDP in 2020, that is, there will be about 5.5 trillion development space in the future. The eighth is the film entertainment sector. At present, the film and Television Cultural Industry in Zhejiang has great development potential. The ninth is the manufacturing sector. High end manufacturing industries such as Chint will be the focus of the future development of the real economy.

"Put more money into the blade and into the real economy."

——Dr. Huang Wenli, mathematics doctor of Zhejiang University and representative of new generation entrepreneurs

At present, China's overall debt ratio is quite high. In terms of strategy, everyone is also talking about deleveraging and debt reduction. However, if we put aside the structural problems and simply talk about the need for deleveraging, we think it may not be appropriate. The most important problem in China's debt problem may still be a structural one. The key is that most of the debt comes from the non-financial enterprise sector, and there is a structural differentiation in the non-financial enterprise sector, including state-owned enterprises and private enterprises, of which state-owned enterprises account for a large proportion.

Therefore, from this perspective, Dr. Huang Wenli believes that the key to reducing leverage is to reduce the leverage of state-owned enterprises. At the same time, he suggests that funds should be properly allocated to private enterprises that are in urgent need of money and more mature in the market. Every new capital invested in the blade can really be put into the real economy.

"Transformation and upgrading is not something you want or want, but something you have to do."

——LAN Jianping, President of Zhejiang Institute of industry and information technology

LAN Jianping expounded his views from yesterday, today and tomorrow in Zhejiang. He believes that Zhejiang's yesterday was a pilot development in planned economy and market economy, closed economy and open economy, rapid economy and industrial cluster transformation and upgrading. These three economic reforms are very clear. In the early stage of reform and opening up, Zhejiang ranked 18th to 20th in China's provincial economy. However, during the 11th Five Year Plan period, Zhejiang has entered the first square of China's economy, and is advancing with Guangdong, Shandong and Jiangsu. This achievement can not be achieved without the government's repeated emphasis on the issue of marketization. Zhejiang scholars and entrepreneurs have been adhering to the marketization all the way to today, realizing the leap from a small resource province to a large economic province.

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